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M&A and IPOs Lead Banks Higher

The six biggest U.S. banks have beaten the U.S. market.

charts — Weekly · Fjell Capital

▪  BY JACOB RADKE

M&A and IPOs lead banks higher

Since the start of 2025, the six largest U.S. banks returned 66% as a group, while the S&P 500 returned 32%.

2021 was the biggest year ever for mergers and acquisitions, with about $5.9 trillion of deals announced worldwide. Global M&A reached $3.1 trillion in the first half of 2026 alone, the largest six months on record and 48% higher than a year earlier. And the IPO market has recovered alongside it. U.S. companies raised roughly $141 billion in initial public offerings in the first half, the most since 2021.

JPMorgan's investment banking fees rose 28% year over year last quarter, and its trading revenue was the highest in the firm's history. The banks with the largest capital-markets businesses collected the most, which is essentially the order on the chart.

Six largest U.S. banks vs. S&P 500, total return since January 2025

The deal market is highly cyclical, but is now recovering from higher interest rates and an aggressive Federal Trade Commission.

Until next week,
Jacob